BOOKBREAKER AISteelers vs Saints prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 9:30 AM ET · Stade de France · DraftKings line: Saints +3.5, total 44.5
What the simulations say
We played Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Steelers won 61% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Saints +3.5), the Saints covered 52% of the time. The median total was 44.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 28.0 and 63.0; the total of 44.5 went over 50% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 23 | 13 | 37 |
| New Orleans Saints | 20 | 9 | 33 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | 42% |
| DK Metcalf | PIT | 29% |
| Pat Freiermuth | PIT | 27% |
| Germie Bernard | PIT | 26% |
| Chris Olave | NO | 24% |
| Alvin Kamara | NO | 22% |
| Kendre Miller | NO | 21% |
| Darnell Washington | PIT | 21% |