BOOKBREAKER AIBroncos vs Cardinals prediction
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium · DraftKings line: Cardinals +4.5, total 43.5
What the simulations say
We played Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Broncos won 63% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Cardinals +4.5), the Cardinals covered 52% of the time. The median total was 43.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 27.0 and 62.0; the total of 43.5 went over 49% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 24 | 13 | 37 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 20 | 9 | 32 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | DEN | 37% |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | 32% |
| Trey McBride | ARI | 26% |
| Jaylen Waddle | DEN | 26% |
| Michael Wilson | ARI | 24% |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | 23% |
| Tyler Allgeier | ARI | 21% |
| Jeremiyah Love | ARI | 21% |