BOOKBREAKER AIDolphins vs Jets prediction
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium · DraftKings line: Jets -4.5, total 39.5
What the simulations say
We played Miami Dolphins at New York Jets 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Jets won 64% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Jets -4.5), the Jets covered 49% of the time. The median total was 39.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 23.0 and 57.0; the total of 39.5 went over 50% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | 17 | 6 | 30 |
| New York Jets | 22 | 10 | 34 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Braelon Allen | NYJ | 33% |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 28% |
| Ollie Gordon II | MIA | 24% |
| Malik Washington | MIA | 21% |
| Breece Hall | NYJ | 21% |
| Kenyon Sadiq | NYJ | 18% |
| De'Von Achane | MIA | 18% |
| Isaiah Williams | NYJ | 16% |