BOOKBREAKER AIRams vs Raiders prediction
Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium · DraftKings line: Raiders +4.5, total 48.5
What the simulations say
We played Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Rams won 64% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Raiders +4.5), the Raiders covered 51% of the time. The median total was 48.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 31.0 and 67.0; the total of 48.5 went over 49% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 22 | 10 | 34 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams | LAR | 47% |
| Ashton Jeanty | LV | 39% |
| Puka Nacua | LAR | 38% |
| Blake Corum | LAR | 31% |
| Brock Bowers | LV | 26% |
| Tre Tucker | LV | 26% |
| Tyler Higbee | LAR | 23% |
| Michael Mayer | LV | 21% |