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Bengals vs Ravens prediction

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium · DraftKings line: Ravens -3, total 51.5

Bengals win
41%
of 25,000 sims
Ravens win
59%
of 25,000 sims
Ravens cover
47%
vs Ravens -3
Over 51.5
49%
under 51%
Most likely score
20-26
Bengals-Ravens, 0.4% of sims

What the simulations say

We played Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Ravens won 59% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Ravens -3), the Ravens covered 47% of the time. The median total was 51.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 34.0 and 70.0; the total of 51.5 went over 49% of the time.

TeamMedian pointsLow (10%)High (90%)
Cincinnati Bengals241337
Baltimore Ravens271540

Best number vs DraftKings

No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.

Anytime touchdown chances

How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.

PlayerTeamScored in
Derrick HenryBAL51%
Chase BrownCIN41%
Zay FlowersBAL33%
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN32%
Tee HigginsCIN29%
Samaje PerineCIN25%
Mark AndrewsBAL24%
Mike GesickiCIN22%
How this works. Every game starts from the sharpest betting market with the bookmaker margin removed, adds weather and injury news, and is simulated 25,000 times. Every probability here is simply how often it happened. More on the method · every posted pick, wins and losses.

More Week 7 predictions

Patriots vs Bears
Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Bears win 59%
Steelers vs Saints
Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
Sims: Steelers win 61%
49ers vs Falcons
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: 49ers win 59%
Browns vs Titans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Browns win 54%
Colts vs Vikings
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Vikings win 70%
Dolphins vs Jets
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Jets win 64%
Buccaneers vs Panthers
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Panthers win 61%
Giants vs Texans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Texans win 78%
Broncos vs Cardinals
Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
Sims: Broncos win 63%
Packers vs Lions
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Lions win 58%
Rams vs Raiders
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Rams win 64%
Chiefs vs Seahawks
Sun Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET
Sims: Seahawks win 58%
Cowboys vs Eagles
Mon Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Cowboys win 64%
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