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NFL predictions › Week 7

Colts vs Vikings prediction

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium · DraftKings line: Vikings -6.5, total 41.5

Colts win
30%
of 25,000 sims
Vikings win
70%
of 25,000 sims
Vikings cover
49%
vs Vikings -6.5
Over 41.5
50%
under 50%
Most likely score
17-24
Colts-Vikings, 0.6% of sims

What the simulations say

We played Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Vikings won 70% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Vikings -6.5), the Vikings covered 49% of the time. The median total was 41.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 25.0 and 60.0; the total of 41.5 went over 50% of the time.

TeamMedian pointsLow (10%)High (90%)
Indianapolis Colts17630
Minnesota Vikings241337

Best number vs DraftKings

No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.

Anytime touchdown chances

How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.

PlayerTeamScored in
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN47%
Jonathan TaylorIND37%
Justin JeffersonMIN27%
T.J. HockensonMIN22%
Jordan AddisonMIN22%
Tyler WarrenIND19%
Keenan AllenIND19%
Josh DownsIND19%
How this works. Every game starts from the sharpest betting market with the bookmaker margin removed, adds weather and injury news, and is simulated 25,000 times. Every probability here is simply how often it happened. More on the method · every posted pick, wins and losses.

More Week 7 predictions

Patriots vs Bears
Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Bears win 59%
Steelers vs Saints
Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
Sims: Steelers win 61%
49ers vs Falcons
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: 49ers win 59%
Browns vs Titans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Browns win 54%
Dolphins vs Jets
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Jets win 64%
Buccaneers vs Panthers
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Panthers win 61%
Bengals vs Ravens
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Ravens win 59%
Giants vs Texans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Texans win 78%
Broncos vs Cardinals
Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
Sims: Broncos win 63%
Packers vs Lions
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Lions win 58%
Rams vs Raiders
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Rams win 64%
Chiefs vs Seahawks
Sun Oct 25 · 8:20 PM ET
Sims: Seahawks win 58%
Cowboys vs Eagles
Mon Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Cowboys win 64%
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