Colts vs Vikings prediction
Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium · DraftKings line: Vikings -6.5, total 41.5
What the simulations say
We played Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Vikings won 70% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Vikings -6.5), the Vikings covered 49% of the time. The median total was 41.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 25.0 and 60.0; the total of 41.5 went over 50% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 6 | 30 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 24 | 13 | 37 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones Sr. | MIN | 47% |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | 37% |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | 27% |
| T.J. Hockenson | MIN | 22% |
| Jordan Addison | MIN | 22% |
| Tyler Warren | IND | 19% |
| Keenan Allen | IND | 19% |
| Josh Downs | IND | 19% |