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NFL predictions › Week 7

Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lumen Field · DraftKings line: Seahawks -2.5, total 42.5

Chiefs win
42%
of 25,000 sims
Seahawks win
58%
of 25,000 sims
Seahawks cover
53%
vs Seahawks -2.5
Over 42.5
50%
under 50%
Most likely score
16-20
Chiefs-Seahawks, 0.5% of sims

What the simulations say

We played Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Seahawks won 58% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Seahawks -2.5), the Seahawks covered 53% of the time. The median total was 42.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 26.0 and 61.0; the total of 42.5 went over 50% of the time.

TeamMedian pointsLow (10%)High (90%)
Kansas City Chiefs20932
Seattle Seahawks231035

Best number vs DraftKings

No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.

Anytime touchdown chances

How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.

PlayerTeamScored in
Kenneth Walker IIIKC41%
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA36%
Emanuel WilsonSEA33%
Travis KelceKC21%
George HolaniSEA20%
Rashid ShaheedSEA20%
Xavier WorthyKC19%
Cooper KuppSEA19%
How this works. Every game starts from the sharpest betting market with the bookmaker margin removed, adds weather and injury news, and is simulated 25,000 times. Every probability here is simply how often it happened. More on the method · every posted pick, wins and losses.

More Week 7 predictions

Patriots vs Bears
Thu Oct 22 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Bears win 59%
Steelers vs Saints
Sun Oct 25 · 9:30 AM ET
Sims: Steelers win 61%
49ers vs Falcons
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: 49ers win 59%
Browns vs Titans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Browns win 54%
Colts vs Vikings
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Vikings win 70%
Dolphins vs Jets
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Jets win 64%
Buccaneers vs Panthers
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Panthers win 61%
Bengals vs Ravens
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Ravens win 59%
Giants vs Texans
Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
Sims: Texans win 78%
Broncos vs Cardinals
Sun Oct 25 · 4:05 PM ET
Sims: Broncos win 63%
Packers vs Lions
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Lions win 58%
Rams vs Raiders
Sun Oct 25 · 4:25 PM ET
Sims: Rams win 64%
Cowboys vs Eagles
Mon Oct 26 · 8:15 PM ET
Sims: Cowboys win 64%
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