Chiefs vs Seahawks prediction
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lumen Field · DraftKings line: Seahawks -2.5, total 42.5
What the simulations say
We played Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Seahawks won 58% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Seahawks -2.5), the Seahawks covered 53% of the time. The median total was 42.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 26.0 and 61.0; the total of 42.5 went over 50% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 20 | 9 | 32 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 23 | 10 | 35 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | KC | 41% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 36% |
| Emanuel Wilson | SEA | 33% |
| Travis Kelce | KC | 21% |
| George Holani | SEA | 20% |
| Rashid Shaheed | SEA | 20% |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | 19% |
| Cooper Kupp | SEA | 19% |