Cowboys vs Eagles prediction
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field · DraftKings line: Eagles +4.5, total 44.5
What the simulations say
We played Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles 25,000 times, possession by possession, starting from the sharpest betting market. The Cowboys won 64% of those games. Against the DraftKings spread (Eagles +4.5), the Eagles covered 51% of the time. The median total was 44.0 points, and 80% of simulated games landed between 28.0 and 63.0; the total of 44.5 went over 50% of the time.
| Team | Median points | Low (10%) | High (90%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 24 | 13 | 37 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 20 | 9 | 32 |
Best number vs DraftKings
No bet in this game beats DraftKings' price by 1% or more in our numbers. When the market is priced right, the honest answer is to pass.
Anytime touchdown chances
How often each player scored in the simulations. Our touchdown model is still unproven against the betting market, so treat these as a guide, not an edge.
| Player | Team | Scored in |
|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | DAL | 39% |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 34% |
| George Pickens | DAL | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith | PHI | 24% |
| Ryan Flournoy | DAL | 23% |
| Dameon Pierce | PHI | 21% |
| Jake Ferguson | DAL | 19% |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | 19% |