Islanders vs Stars prediction
New York Islanders at Dallas Stars · Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 6:10 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Ilya Sorokin (projected) vs Jake Oettinger (projected)
Stars win
63%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
47%
total goals
Stars -1.5
39%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Islanders 2.5, Stars 3.2. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
New York Islanders: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 26% | +287 | 46% | 46% |
| Victor Eklund | 18% | +453 | 25% | 30% |
| Brayden Schenn | 18% | +469 | 25% | 35% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 17% | +484 | 23% | 34% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 17% | +486 | 17% | 29% |
| Emil Heineman | 16% | +544 | 19% | 26% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 15% | +570 | 63% | 46% |
| Anthony Duclair | 14% | +598 | 15% | 23% |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 14% | +611 | 13% | 32% |
| Kyle MacLean | 13% | +670 | 11% | 21% |
| Casey Cizikas | 12% | +702 | 11% | 23% |
| Ondrej Palat | 10% | +889 | 6% | 21% |
Dallas Stars: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 41% | +145 | 62% | 65% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 34% | +191 | 51% | 56% |
| Roope Hintz | 28% | +264 | 31% | 46% |
| Tyler Seguin | 25% | +295 | 37% | 42% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 23% | +328 | 25% | 65% |
| Arttu Hyry | 21% | +370 | 20% | 28% |
| Miro Heiskanen | 15% | +588 | 29% | 50% |
| Joel Kiviranta | 14% | +592 | 13% | 23% |
| Justin Hryckowian | 14% | +615 | 11% | 28% |
| Jamie Benn | 14% | +634 | 12% | 30% |
| Radek Faksa | 13% | +655 | 10% | 22% |
| Colin Blackwell | 12% | +770 | 7% | 21% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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