BOOKBREAKER AISabres vs Capitals prediction
Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (projected) vs Charlie Lindgren (projected)
Capitals win
53%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
20%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
50%
total goals
Capitals -1.5
32%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Sabres 3.1, Capitals 3.4. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Buffalo Sabres: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 36% | +177 | 68% | 57% |
| Jack Quinn | 24% | +315 | 36% | 45% |
| Noah Ostlund | 22% | +354 | 26% | 45% |
| Zach Benson | 19% | +415 | 26% | 44% |
| Jason Zucker | 19% | +418 | 21% | 36% |
| Josh Doan | 19% | +419 | 28% | 38% |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 18% | +450 | 51% | 46% |
| Konsta Helenius | 18% | +458 | 22% | 28% |
| Josh Norris | 18% | +459 | 17% | 30% |
| Jiri Kulich | 15% | +563 | 14% | 29% |
| Ryan McLeod | 14% | +596 | 13% | 28% |
| Peyton Krebs | 11% | +824 | 7% | 31% |
Washington Capitals: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 31% | +219 | 48% | 44% |
| Ryan Leonard | 30% | +233 | 39% | 48% |
| Boone Jenner | 27% | +276 | 38% | 39% |
| Tom Wilson | 26% | +292 | 31% | 52% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 22% | +346 | 37% | 48% |
| Dylan Strome | 21% | +370 | 23% | 50% |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 20% | +408 | 19% | 44% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 19% | +415 | 21% | 50% |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | 17% | +500 | 15% | 28% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 17% | +501 | 16% | 38% |
| Ilya Protas | 14% | +613 | 10% | 44% |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 14% | +627 | 11% | 25% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
The Sunday sims email is coming soon. Get on the list now: every NFL game simulated 25,000 times, the bets that beat DraftKings' price (or "no edge"), and last week's results. Free, one email a week once it launches.