Jets vs Stars prediction
Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Stuart Skinner vs Jake Oettinger
Stars win
64%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
49%
total goals
Stars -1.5
41%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Jets 2.5, Stars 3.3. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Winnipeg Jets: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 37% | +172 | 70% | 48% |
| Cole Perfetti | 21% | +387 | 29% | 35% |
| Alex Iafallo | 20% | +409 | 32% | 30% |
| Mark Scheifele | 16% | +528 | 23% | 55% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 16% | +531 | 24% | 45% |
| Cole Koepke | 14% | +590 | 20% | 23% |
| Nino Niederreiter | 14% | +613 | 22% | 27% |
| Morgan Barron | 12% | +766 | 15% | 26% |
| Isak Rosen | 11% | +771 | 15% | 22% |
| Viggo Bjorck | 10% | +871 | 11% | 17% |
| Brad Lambert | 10% | +900 | 10% | 18% |
| Adam Lowry | 9% | +988 | 7% | 27% |
Dallas Stars: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 41% | +143 | 65% | 63% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 33% | +200 | 52% | 54% |
| Tyler Seguin | 25% | +305 | 38% | 42% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 24% | +313 | 28% | 63% |
| Arttu Hyry | 22% | +351 | 23% | 29% |
| Roope Hintz | 22% | +353 | 27% | 43% |
| Joel Kiviranta | 14% | +606 | 14% | 23% |
| Miro Heiskanen | 14% | +616 | 28% | 49% |
| Sam Steel | 14% | +622 | 13% | 27% |
| Radek Faksa | 14% | +639 | 12% | 23% |
| Justin Hryckowian | 13% | +657 | 11% | 28% |
| Jamie Benn | 13% | +678 | 12% | 30% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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