Knights vs Blues prediction
Vegas Golden Knights at St Louis Blues · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 8:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Adin Hill vs Joel Hofer
Knights win
55%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
46%
total goals
Knights -1.5
33%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Knights 3.3, Blues 3.0. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Vegas Golden Knights: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Stone | 30% | +238 | 30% | 49% |
| Tomas Hertl | 27% | +269 | 35% | 46% |
| Brett Howden | 25% | +295 | 25% | 38% |
| Jack Eichel | 25% | +298 | 40% | 60% |
| Mitch Marner | 25% | +299 | 42% | 56% |
| Trevor Connelly | 22% | +351 | 29% | 35% |
| William Karlsson | 19% | +429 | 24% | 37% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 17% | +483 | 21% | 40% |
| Marc Gatcomb | 17% | +499 | 22% | 26% |
| Raphael Lavoie | 16% | +522 | 18% | 32% |
| Braeden Bowman | 13% | +665 | 10% | 27% |
| Shea Theodore | 12% | +731 | 25% | 42% |
St Louis Blues: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 28% | +253 | 41% | 49% |
| Mason McTavish | 26% | +290 | 42% | 47% |
| Dylan Holloway | 25% | +305 | 40% | 53% |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | 20% | +402 | 28% | 28% |
| Robert Thomas | 20% | +411 | 14% | 46% |
| Connor McMichael | 17% | +497 | 13% | 39% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 17% | +501 | 17% | 36% |
| Jonatan Berggren | 16% | +508 | 14% | 31% |
| Jake Neighbours | 16% | +532 | 15% | 36% |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 15% | +578 | 14% | 26% |
| Pius Suter | 14% | +611 | 10% | 33% |
| Otto Stenberg | 13% | +656 | 12% | 26% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
The Sunday sims email is coming soon. Get on the list now: every NFL game simulated 25,000 times, the bets that beat DraftKings' price (or "no edge"), and last week's results. Free, one email a week once it launches.