BOOKBREAKER AISharks vs Senators prediction
San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Yaroslav Askarov vs Samuel Ersson
Senators win
55%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
48%
total goals
Senators -1.5
33%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Sharks 3.0, Senators 3.3. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
San Jose Sharks: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 38% | +160 | 62% | 65% |
| Mason Marchment | 25% | +299 | 31% | 42% |
| Will Smith | 23% | +335 | 35% | 46% |
| Ivar Stenberg | 22% | +355 | 25% | 50% |
| Igor Chernyshov | 21% | +382 | 18% | 37% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 20% | +401 | 27% | 41% |
| Michael Misa | 18% | +443 | 16% | 42% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 16% | +541 | 15% | 38% |
| Collin Graf | 15% | +550 | 15% | 28% |
| Ty Dellandrea | 11% | +785 | 9% | 20% |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 11% | +803 | 8% | 19% |
| Barclay Goodrow | 9% | +1043 | 5% | 16% |
Ottawa Senators: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cozens | 30% | +237 | 47% | 50% |
| Drake Batherson | 29% | +244 | 28% | 49% |
| Tim Stutzle | 29% | +247 | 32% | 60% |
| Claude Giroux | 24% | +322 | 33% | 50% |
| Shane Pinto | 23% | +337 | 25% | 45% |
| Ridly Greig | 21% | +381 | 29% | 39% |
| Stephen Halliday | 20% | +405 | 21% | 33% |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 20% | +409 | 19% | 33% |
| Warren Foegele | 15% | +546 | 14% | 29% |
| Michael Amadio | 15% | +567 | 9% | 27% |
| Jake Sanderson | 14% | +603 | 33% | 53% |
| Hayden Hodgson | 11% | +777 | 7% | 21% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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