BOOKBREAKER AIRangers vs Leafs prediction
New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Dylan Garand vs Sergei Bobrovsky
Rangers win
51%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
49%
total goals
Rangers -1.5
30%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Rangers 3.2, Leafs 3.1. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
New York Rangers: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 32% | +211 | 54% | 45% |
| Will Cuylle | 31% | +224 | 43% | 44% |
| Gabe Perreault | 28% | +261 | 30% | 41% |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 27% | +272 | 30% | 47% |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 20% | +405 | 20% | 31% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 20% | +409 | 23% | 53% |
| J.T. Miller | 19% | +436 | 21% | 47% |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 18% | +461 | 22% | 29% |
| Tye Kartye | 16% | +511 | 12% | 36% |
| Taylor Raddysh | 15% | +554 | 14% | 32% |
| Justin Dowling | 13% | +650 | 11% | 24% |
| Noah Laba | 11% | +788 | 10% | 28% |
Toronto Maple Leafs: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 35% | +183 | 48% | 65% |
| William Nylander | 32% | +213 | 43% | 58% |
| Kirill Marchenko | 26% | +284 | 34% | 49% |
| Jack Roslovic | 23% | +330 | 31% | 44% |
| Easton Cowan | 21% | +381 | 19% | 47% |
| Gavin McKenna | 20% | +395 | 22% | 38% |
| Vinni Lettieri | 18% | +442 | 22% | 36% |
| Nick Paul | 15% | +577 | 12% | 27% |
| Darren Raddysh | 14% | +633 | 43% | 36% |
| Teddy Blueger | 13% | +652 | 10% | 25% |
| Colton Sissons | 12% | +706 | 8% | 29% |
| Zack MacEwen | 12% | +712 | 7% | 20% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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