Wild vs Flames prediction
Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 9:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Jesper Wallstedt vs Devin Cooley
Wild win
65%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
20%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
45%
total goals
Wild -1.5
43%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Wild 3.6, Flames 2.6. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Minnesota Wild: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | 41% | +144 | 70% | 63% |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 39% | +154 | 46% | 65% |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 31% | +222 | 54% | 58% |
| Blake Coleman | 24% | +314 | 31% | 40% |
| Ryan Hartman | 22% | +359 | 30% | 39% |
| Danila Yurov | 19% | +431 | 14% | 30% |
| Maxim Shabanov | 19% | +439 | 16% | 43% |
| Michael McCarron | 17% | +473 | 20% | 36% |
| Tyler Pitlick | 17% | +493 | 15% | 26% |
| Quinn Hughes | 16% | +514 | 30% | 62% |
| Bobby Brink | 14% | +627 | 12% | 36% |
| Nico Sturm | 13% | +672 | 9% | 33% |
Calgary Flames: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 24% | +315 | 34% | 39% |
| Matt Coronato | 23% | +327 | 41% | 48% |
| Joel Farabee | 21% | +371 | 37% | 48% |
| Aydar Suniev | 20% | +396 | 25% | 33% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 17% | +493 | 23% | 27% |
| Ryan Strome | 17% | +500 | 25% | 31% |
| Matvei Gridin | 17% | +503 | 26% | 45% |
| Jonathan Castagna | 16% | +527 | 21% | 30% |
| Adam Klapka | 15% | +558 | 20% | 27% |
| Brennan Othmann | 15% | +568 | 20% | 42% |
| Martin Pospisil | 14% | +623 | 17% | 27% |
| Zayne Parekh | 9% | +994 | 31% | 30% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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