Panthers vs Penguins prediction
Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins · Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Cooper Black vs Arturs Silovs
Penguins win
50%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
54%
total goals
Penguins -1.5
30%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Panthers 3.4, Penguins 3.4. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Florida Panthers: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 38% | +161 | 54% | 61% |
| Sam Reinhart | 29% | +244 | 39% | 48% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 27% | +267 | 27% | 37% |
| Sam Bennett | 27% | +274 | 41% | 42% |
| Anton Lundell | 23% | +341 | 38% | 37% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 22% | +349 | 28% | 64% |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 18% | +444 | 17% | 37% |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 17% | +488 | 16% | 31% |
| Cole Schwindt | 17% | +493 | 14% | 28% |
| Bokondji Imama | 11% | +776 | 6% | 18% |
| Seth Jones | 11% | +817 | 27% | 55% |
| Lars Eller | 11% | +835 | 5% | 32% |
Pittsburgh Penguins: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Malkin | 33% | +199 | 36% | 50% |
| Rickard Rakell | 33% | +199 | 54% | 51% |
| Sidney Crosby | 30% | +230 | 47% | 58% |
| Nick Robertson | 30% | +234 | 32% | 36% |
| Egor Chinakhov | 26% | +283 | 34% | 44% |
| Tommy Novak | 21% | +371 | 25% | 49% |
| Connor Dewar | 20% | +389 | 19% | 33% |
| Ville Koivunen | 19% | +440 | 17% | 33% |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 15% | +548 | 14% | 36% |
| Blake Lizotte | 14% | +593 | 13% | 38% |
| Erik Karlsson | 13% | +682 | 25% | 56% |
| Kris Letang | 10% | +926 | 21% | 37% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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