BOOKBREAKER AIFlyers vs Sabres prediction
Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Dan Vladar vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Final: Flyers 3, Sabres 1. The sims had the Sabres winning 66%; they lost. Every result stays up, right or wrong.
Sabres win
66%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
19%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
54%
total goals
Sabres -1.5
43%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Flyers 2.6, Sabres 3.6. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Philadelphia Flyers: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 25% | +306 | 31% | 37% | no goal |
| Porter Martone | 20% | +409 | 30% | 35% | no goal |
| Alex Bump | 18% | +449 | 22% | 25% | no goal |
| Trevor Zegras | 18% | +452 | 23% | 39% | scored |
| Cole Knuble | 18% | +465 | 21% | 35% | scored |
| Jacob Gaucher | 17% | +495 | 21% | 35% | no goal |
| Sean Couturier | 16% | +516 | 25% | 34% | no goal |
| Michael Bunting | 15% | +564 | 22% | 31% | – |
| Noah Cates | 14% | +601 | 19% | 33% | no goal |
| Christian Dvorak | 14% | +639 | 15% | 33% | no goal |
| Noel Acciari | 13% | +679 | 11% | 21% | no goal |
| Travis Sanheim | 10% | +920 | 21% | 20% | no goal |
Buffalo Sabres: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 46% | +118 | 81% | 66% | no goal |
| Jack Quinn | 29% | +239 | 48% | 52% | no goal |
| Noah Ostlund | 27% | +276 | 35% | 52% | no goal |
| Zach Benson | 26% | +285 | 39% | 54% | no goal |
| Konsta Helenius | 24% | +322 | 33% | 36% | no goal |
| Josh Doan | 23% | +330 | 38% | 46% | no goal |
| Josh Norris | 23% | +337 | 27% | 40% | no goal |
| Jiri Kulich | 20% | +412 | 21% | 36% | no goal |
| Ryan McLeod | 18% | +454 | 19% | 35% | no goal |
| Peyton Krebs | 14% | +614 | 13% | 38% | no goal |
| Olen Zellweger | 14% | +637 | 36% | 31% | no goal |
| Mattias Samuelsson | 13% | +680 | 22% | 38% | no goal |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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