Panthers vs Senators prediction
Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Akira Schmid vs Linus Ullmark (projected)
Final: Panthers 1, Senators 5. The sims had the Senators winning 50%; they won. Every result stays up, right or wrong.
Senators win
50%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
22%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
49%
total goals
Senators -1.5
29%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Panthers 2.9, Senators 2.9. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Florida Panthers: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 33% | +206 | 56% | 54% | scored |
| Sam Reinhart | 27% | +265 | 46% | 44% | no goal |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 25% | +301 | 31% | 34% | no goal |
| Sam Bennett | 24% | +325 | 43% | 37% | no goal |
| Anton Lundell | 21% | +382 | 42% | 33% | no goal |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 20% | +401 | 31% | 58% | no goal |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16% | +515 | 18% | 32% | no goal |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 15% | +552 | 19% | 27% | no goal |
| Bokondji Imama | 11% | +836 | 8% | 16% | no goal |
| Sam Lafferty | 11% | +840 | 9% | 22% | – |
| Lars Eller | 9% | +1017 | 6% | 28% | no goal |
| Seth Jones | 9% | +1017 | 27% | 47% | no goal |
Ottawa Senators: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cozens | 28% | +259 | 46% | 47% | no goal |
| Drake Batherson | 28% | +260 | 30% | 45% | no goal |
| Tim Stutzle | 27% | +273 | 34% | 58% | scored |
| Claude Giroux | 21% | +366 | 34% | 49% | scored |
| Shane Pinto | 21% | +383 | 26% | 43% | scored |
| Ridly Greig | 20% | +408 | 31% | 39% | no goal |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 19% | +419 | 20% | 33% | no goal |
| Stephen Halliday | 16% | +509 | 17% | 26% | scored |
| Michael Amadio | 14% | +610 | 10% | 27% | no goal |
| Warren Foegele | 13% | +684 | 12% | 27% | scored |
| Nick Cousins | 10% | +858 | 7% | 23% | no goal |
| Andre Burakovsky | 10% | +906 | 6% | 33% | – |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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