BOOKBREAKER AILeafs vs Jackets prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets · Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Anthony Stolarz vs Jet Greaves
Jackets win
61%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
20%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
50%
total goals
Jackets -1.5
39%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Leafs 2.9, Jackets 3.6. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Toronto Maple Leafs: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 32% | +217 | 47% | 62% |
| William Nylander | 29% | +240 | 44% | 55% |
| Kirill Marchenko | 24% | +324 | 34% | 48% |
| Jack Roslovic | 21% | +381 | 33% | 41% |
| Vinni Lettieri | 19% | +422 | 29% | 38% |
| Gavin McKenna | 19% | +435 | 21% | 37% |
| Easton Cowan | 18% | +452 | 19% | 43% |
| Nick Paul | 13% | +665 | 13% | 25% |
| Zack MacEwen | 13% | +693 | 9% | 21% |
| Darren Raddysh | 13% | +699 | 43% | 34% |
| Teddy Blueger | 12% | +713 | 10% | 24% |
| Colton Sissons | 12% | +758 | 8% | 26% |
Columbus Blue Jackets: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fantilli | 32% | +214 | 44% | 49% |
| Kent Johnson | 28% | +254 | 36% | 45% |
| Charlie Coyle | 26% | +290 | 31% | 57% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 25% | +307 | 27% | 47% |
| Matthew Knies | 23% | +339 | 20% | 50% |
| Mathieu Olivier | 23% | +340 | 23% | 32% |
| Cole Sillinger | 23% | +344 | 20% | 41% |
| Sean Monahan | 20% | +396 | 19% | 39% |
| Ryan Lomberg | 20% | +408 | 23% | 36% |
| Danton Heinen | 17% | +498 | 12% | 37% |
| Conor Garland | 16% | +523 | 15% | 22% |
| Zach Werenski | 15% | +558 | 46% | 54% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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