Sharks vs Canadiens prediction
San Jose Sharks at Montréal Canadiens · Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Alex Nedeljkovic vs Jakub Dobes
Canadiens win
68%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
19%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
53%
total goals
Canadiens -1.5
46%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Sharks 2.8, Canadiens 4.0. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
San Jose Sharks: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 34% | +196 | 62% | 61% |
| Mason Marchment | 24% | +318 | 33% | 40% |
| Will Smith | 23% | +342 | 39% | 44% |
| Ivar Stenberg | 21% | +374 | 25% | 46% |
| Igor Chernyshov | 21% | +381 | 20% | 36% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 19% | +429 | 30% | 41% |
| Michael Misa | 17% | +501 | 16% | 41% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 15% | +559 | 17% | 34% |
| Collin Graf | 14% | +594 | 15% | 27% |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 11% | +810 | 10% | 18% |
| Barclay Goodrow | 9% | +1057 | 6% | 16% |
| Darnell Nurse | 8% | +1147 | 37% | 23% |
Montréal Canadiens: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 44% | +129 | 55% | 56% |
| Nick Suzuki | 34% | +196 | 43% | 63% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 31% | +218 | 45% | 58% |
| Josh Anderson | 28% | +262 | 26% | 43% |
| Alex Newhook | 28% | +262 | 24% | 45% |
| Zack Bolduc | 23% | +336 | 17% | 37% |
| Phillip Danault | 20% | +389 | 14% | 46% |
| Alexandre Texier | 20% | +411 | 16% | 37% |
| Chris Kreider | 19% | +430 | 13% | 49% |
| Jake Evans | 17% | +481 | 14% | 40% |
| Kirby Dach | 15% | +562 | 9% | 22% |
| Oliver Kapanen | 14% | +603 | 11% | 19% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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