Kings vs Capitals prediction
Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals · Tuesday, October 20, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Darcy Kuemper vs Logan Thompson
Capitals win
60%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
21%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
53%
total goals
Capitals -1.5
36%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Kings 2.7, Capitals 3.3. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Los Angeles Kings: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 29% | +245 | 42% | 48% |
| Quinton Byfield | 25% | +301 | 42% | 40% |
| Alex Laferriere | 24% | +312 | 46% | 49% |
| Artemi Panarin | 23% | +335 | 36% | 47% |
| Erik Haula | 21% | +374 | 30% | 43% |
| Trevor Moore | 21% | +381 | 39% | 41% |
| Scott Laughton | 17% | +472 | 28% | 27% |
| Joel Armia | 16% | +520 | 16% | 23% |
| Corey Perry | 12% | +742 | 11% | 19% |
| Andre Lee | 11% | +807 | 8% | 25% |
| Samuel Helenius | 9% | +956 | 7% | 14% |
| Brandt Clarke | 8% | +1177 | 22% | 35% |
Washington Capitals: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 31% | +218 | 47% | 45% |
| Ryan Leonard | 29% | +244 | 37% | 47% |
| Boone Jenner | 26% | +287 | 38% | 37% |
| Tom Wilson | 24% | +311 | 29% | 50% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 21% | +366 | 36% | 46% |
| Dylan Strome | 20% | +400 | 20% | 48% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 19% | +431 | 20% | 46% |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 18% | +442 | 17% | 39% |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko | 17% | +480 | 17% | 29% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 17% | +485 | 16% | 38% |
| Ilya Protas | 14% | +615 | 11% | 43% |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 14% | +625 | 11% | 22% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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