BOOKBREAKER AISharks vs Leafs prediction
San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs · Monday, October 19, 2026 · 7:40 PM ET · total 6.5 · goalies: Yaroslav Askarov vs Sergei Bobrovsky
Leafs win
55%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
20%
overtime or shootout
Over 6.5
55%
total goals
Leafs -1.5
34%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Sharks 3.2, Leafs 3.6. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
San Jose Sharks: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 37% | +173 | 59% | 66% |
| Mason Marchment | 25% | +297 | 29% | 43% |
| Will Smith | 25% | +297 | 35% | 47% |
| Ivar Stenberg | 24% | +310 | 25% | 50% |
| Igor Chernyshov | 22% | +346 | 19% | 39% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 21% | +372 | 29% | 41% |
| Michael Misa | 19% | +430 | 16% | 44% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 17% | +478 | 18% | 38% |
| Collin Graf | 15% | +551 | 13% | 28% |
| Alexander Wennberg | 15% | +565 | 15% | 42% |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 13% | +658 | 11% | 21% |
| Barclay Goodrow | 10% | +891 | 6% | 18% |
Toronto Maple Leafs: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 38% | +161 | 52% | 69% |
| William Nylander | 37% | +172 | 48% | 65% |
| Kirill Marchenko | 30% | +234 | 39% | 56% |
| Jack Roslovic | 26% | +278 | 39% | 50% |
| Easton Cowan | 23% | +334 | 21% | 53% |
| Gavin McKenna | 23% | +343 | 26% | 47% |
| Nick Paul | 17% | +502 | 15% | 31% |
| Darren Raddysh | 16% | +511 | 47% | 41% |
| Teddy Blueger | 15% | +546 | 12% | 31% |
| Colton Sissons | 15% | +548 | 10% | 33% |
| Zack MacEwen | 15% | +578 | 9% | 27% |
| Brandon Duhaime | 12% | +764 | 6% | 21% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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