BOOKBREAKER AIAvalanche vs Flyers prediction
Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers · Monday, October 19, 2026 · 7:10 PM ET · total 5.5 · goalies: Mackenzie Blackwood vs Joseph Woll
Avalanche win
69%
of 25,000 sims
Past 60 minutes
19%
overtime or shootout
Over 5.5
55%
total goals
Avalanche -1.5
47%
win by 2+
Average goals in the sims: Avalanche 3.7, Flyers 2.5. Each team's scoring is set so the simulator matches the sharp betting market's moneyline and total exactly; the sims then decide who takes the shots and who scores.
Colorado Avalanche: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 43% | +133 | 68% | 65% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 30% | +232 | 38% | 44% |
| Martin Necas | 25% | +303 | 41% | 58% |
| T.J. Hughes | 24% | +309 | 29% | 40% |
| Nazem Kadri | 24% | +324 | 45% | 52% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 23% | +327 | 20% | 40% |
| Brock Nelson | 22% | +355 | 25% | 35% |
| Cale Makar | 21% | +386 | 43% | 47% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 20% | +412 | 17% | 46% |
| Gavin Brindley | 18% | +459 | 17% | 33% |
| Fedor Svechkov | 16% | +537 | 14% | 28% |
| Parker Kelly | 16% | +543 | 13% | 32% |
Philadelphia Flyers: who scores?
| Player | Goal | Fair price | 3+ shots | 1+ point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 22% | +352 | 27% | 40% |
| Porter Martone | 19% | +422 | 26% | 38% |
| Jack Studnicka | 18% | +447 | 23% | 28% |
| Trevor Zegras | 17% | +481 | 20% | 37% |
| Tyson Foerster | 17% | +492 | 26% | 26% |
| Sean Couturier | 16% | +532 | 21% | 38% |
| Michael Bunting | 16% | +538 | 22% | 34% |
| Noah Cates | 15% | +560 | 19% | 34% |
| Christian Dvorak | 14% | +610 | 15% | 35% |
| Noel Acciari | 11% | +811 | 8% | 21% |
| Garrett Wilson | 11% | +849 | 8% | 21% |
| Denver Barkey | 9% | +957 | 6% | 30% |
Build a same-game parlay from these numbers, priced on the same simulated games, in the Bookbreaker app. Our NHL sim is new: it's tied to the market's lines, and its own picks are tracked on their own record. Analysis and entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+
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